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Prediction for CME (2018-08-19T07:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2018-08-19T07:36ZCME Note: SIDC: In SoHO/LASCO C2 coronagraph images a very narrow (only around 10 degrees angular width) CME is visible from August 19 7:36UT onwards, directed towards the South-West. It is also visible from Stereo A COR2, also narrow and directed to the South-West from this viewpoint. The arrival time for this CME could have been confused with the arrival time of the 2018-08-20T21:24Z CME. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-08-24T05:50Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-08-21T23:00Z (-4.0h, +3.0h) Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM) Prediction Method Note: CME associated with DSF observed in Learmonth GONG H-alpha ~05:30UT on 19 Aug. Glancing blow with very slight increase in solar wind speed and density expected. Speed: 715 km/s Cone half angle: 23 Lat: 14S Long: 22WLead Time: 96.08 hour(s) Difference: 54.83 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Duty Forecaster (ASWFC) on 2018-08-20T05:45Z |
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